The Lightning were heavy model favourites this time around, and managed to scrape in with a two point win over the weekend. The Giants had been preferred by the model, but the Firebirds proved too strong at home. Ridiculously, the model gave the Vixens a 100% chance of winning—whilst they did win, 100% is a bit much!
Congratulations to Tegan Philip on 100 games!
Wrap-up
If you missed my round 11 predictions, here they are.
| Home | Away | Chance of home team winning | Home Score | Away Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunshine Coast Lightning | Magpies Netball | 99% | 58 | 56 | Sunshine Coast Lightning |
| NSW Swifts | West Coast Fever | 17% | 68 | 74 | West Coast Fever |
| Queensland Firebirds | GIANTS Netball | 26% | 64 | 50 | Queensland Firebirds |
| Melbourne Vixens | Adelaide Thunderbirds | 100% | 73 | 48 | Melbourne Vixens |
Team Abilities
Ability is starting to be predicted a little more consistently; the Fever are going well, as are the Giants and the Vixens.
Ladder
| Squad | Goals for | Goals against | Percentage | Points (old) | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Coast Fever | 724 | 667 | 1.09 | 18 | 62 |
| Melbourne Vixens | 691 | 630 | 1.10 | 16 | 55 |
| GIANTS Netball | 646 | 596 | 1.08 | 15 | 54 |
| Queensland Firebirds | 655 | 607 | 1.08 | 12 | 49 |
| Sunshine Coast Lightning | 617 | 606 | 1.02 | 11 | 47 |
| NSW Swifts | 637 | 657 | 0.97 | 10 | 37 |
| Magpies Netball | 644 | 659 | 0.98 | 6 | 34 |
| Adelaide Thunderbirds | 542 | 734 | 0.74 | 0 | 4 |
Check out the round 12 predictions here.