Similar to last week, I’ve only just got back from the US, and so I’ve had limited opportunities to check out all the matches. It was obviously disappointing to see the Vixens lose, but we’re not even half way through the season so there’s still time to get those all important points.
If you missed my round 6 predictions, here they are.
|Home||Away||Chance of home team winning||Home Score||Away Score||Winner|
|Sunshine Coast Lightning||Melbourne Vixens||38%||64||56||Sunshine Coast Lightning|
|West Coast Fever||GIANTS Netball||40%||63||61||West Coast Fever|
|NSW Swifts||Adelaide Thunderbirds||93%||51||49||NSW Swifts|
|Magpies Netball||Queensland Firebirds||15%||67||62||Magpies Netball|
The model took a bit of a beating last round! The only prediction (if we’re basing our win cutoff at 50% or greater) that went close was the Swifts—and they were playing the bunnies of the comp, the Thunderbirds. However, the Thunderbirds performed really well in that game, going down by only two goals. Look at the change in the team abilities: the Swifts have lost ability, as they were highly fancied to win by a large margin.
You can see the clear improvement of the Thunderbirds in the team ability figure below: they’re progression over the last few weeks is encouraging, and we might start seeing some closer matches.
After getting some wins on the board, the Lightning have boosted their ability, still sticking well in positive territory.
Check out the round 7 predictions here.