No commentary this week, I’ve had an ordinary one…
If you missed my round 4 predictions, here they are.
|Home||Away||Chance of home team winning||Home Score||Away Score||Winner|
|GIANTS Netball||Queensland Firebirds||50%||53||51||GIANTS Netball|
|Adelaide Thunderbirds||Melbourne Vixens||4%||50||72||Melbourne Vixens|
|West Coast Fever||NSW Swifts||66%||63||54||West Coast Fever|
|Magpies Netball||Sunshine Coast Lightning||39%||50||52||Sunshine Coast Lightning|
Now that there’s a few rounds down, let’s check out how the model views the team ability:
It’s a good reality check that the Vixens estimated ability does not change; they played a team (Thunderbirds) they were expected to beat by a large margin. Thus, the Vixens ability should not change.
I wrote briefly about these abilities last round. See here for details.
Check out the round 5 predictions here.