No commentary this week, I’ve had an ordinary one…
If you missed my round 4 predictions, here they are.
Wrap-up
| Home | Away | Chance of home team winning | Home Score | Away Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GIANTS Netball | Queensland Firebirds | 50% | 53 | 51 | GIANTS Netball |
| Adelaide Thunderbirds | Melbourne Vixens | 4% | 50 | 72 | Melbourne Vixens |
| West Coast Fever | NSW Swifts | 66% | 63 | 54 | West Coast Fever |
| Magpies Netball | Sunshine Coast Lightning | 39% | 50 | 52 | Sunshine Coast Lightning |
Team Abilities
Now that there’s a few rounds down, let’s check out how the model views the team ability:
It’s a good reality check that the Vixens estimated ability does not change; they played a team (Thunderbirds) they were expected to beat by a large margin. Thus, the Vixens ability should not change.
I wrote briefly about these abilities last round. See here for details.
Check out the round 5 predictions here.