No commentary this week, I’ve had an ordinary one…

If you missed my round 4 predictions, here they are.


Home Away Chance of home team winning Home Score Away Score Winner
GIANTS Netball Queensland Firebirds 50% 53 51 GIANTS Netball
Adelaide Thunderbirds Melbourne Vixens 4% 50 72 Melbourne Vixens
West Coast Fever NSW Swifts 66% 63 54 West Coast Fever
Magpies Netball Sunshine Coast Lightning 39% 50 52 Sunshine Coast Lightning

Team Abilities

Now that there’s a few rounds down, let’s check out how the model views the team ability:


It’s a good reality check that the Vixens estimated ability does not change; they played a team (Thunderbirds) they were expected to beat by a large margin. Thus, the Vixens ability should not change.

I wrote briefly about these abilities last round. See here for details.

Check out the round 5 predictions here.